Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Feb March 2009 Market Update

There is lots of uncertainty out there

The last few weeks have seen a lot of new buyers coming out to look at open houses, both first time buyers as well as people considering trading up or down from their present home. Many, if not most, are just starting their research into the market and are not ready to act just yet.

The main holdup I am hearing from people is a lack certainty about what is going to happen in the economy. When you are not comfortable about the future it’s very difficult to make such a major commitment such as buying a new home.

The encouraging thing about this activity is that it is showing that there is a lot of demand in the market that is waiting for the right signals to take action. This bodes very well for the state of the real estate market in Toronto as the spring market develops.

Once we start seeing a few positive signs we will definitely be seeing an increase in buyer activity.We are already seeing some signs of recovering at our sales office, as our weekly sales for the last half of February have been running ahead of last year and we have seen five sales in the last two weeks that attracted multiple offers.

The recovery in our area has been centered largely in the Leaside and Davisville neighborhoods as the following numbers show.Unit sales and average price change

– Feb 2009 vs Feb 2008

Leaside - Unit sales were identical to last year.
Average sale price -12%

Davisville – Unit sales +/-0%,
Average price -8%

In the Central District, we continued to see sales and prices well below last year’s levels, but versus last month, January 2009, we saw a strong surge of activity.

Sales in Central Toronto increased by 64% and the average price in February, while -5% vs last year, showed a +7% increase from January to an average of $473,971.

The reality, at this point, is that there are some very well priced houses available. If you are thinking about trading up, this could be an ideal time to take a look at what’s available.

Mortgage rates are fantastic and there are a number of homeowner incentives included in the latest Federal Budget that are discussed later in this newsletter.Every neighborhood and every price range is different.

Call me if you would like a custom report on your own neighborhood.

Home ownership tax benefits

The Federal Government is now offering a lot of incentives to renovate, improve or even buy a house.

The Federal Budget 2009 introduced several incentives to get Canadians spending by buying a first time home, or renovating the one they are already in. But do the government measures go far enough and will they help to spur the real estate market?“At first blush, the incentives related to housing seem very positive,” says 2008 OREA President, Gerry Weir. “However, we shouldn’t expect to see these programs stimulate the economy immediately like people hope they will. We are probably looking at two to three years before we see the benefits.”

As for the 2009 budget in general, Weir says the billions of dollars the government plans to spend on municipal infrastructure will likely do volumes to create jobs and boost the economy.

“We are grateful that the government recognizes that the housing industry moves the economy, but we must have consumer confidence. Job creation and low interest rates will help people – especially first time buyers – feel secure about buying a home,” says Weir. “Then we will also see people spending more on renovations.”RRSP Home Buyers Plan changed

The changes to the RRSP Home Buyers Plan introduced in the new budget are not only good for potential home buyers, they are also seen as a victory for OREA and CREA. “It’s gratifying to see that our lobbying efforts at the national level for enhancements to this program have paid off,” says Weir.The 2009 budget increases the withdrawal limit for the RRSP Home Buyers Plan to $25,000 from $20,000 providing first-time home buyers with additional access to savings to purchase or build a home.

The eligibility and repayment rules remain pretty much the same. The money withdrawn from the RRSP must be repaid over a period of no more than 15 years to retain its tax deferred status. The repayment period starts the second year following the year the first withdrawals were made. If a participant pays less than the scheduled annual payments, the amount that they don’t repay must be reported as income on their tax return for that year.

For example, in October 2009 a first time buyer withdraws $24,000 from his or her RRSP to finance the purchase of a home. Their first annual repayment of $1,600 ($24,000 divided by 15 years) is due by December 31, 2011.

Buyers get a tax creditFor 2009 and subsequent years, the budget also introduced a new non-refundable tax credit to help first-time home buyers with some of their closing costs. This Home Buyer Tax Credit (HBTC) will provide up to $750 in tax relief on the purchase of a first home. The HBTC is calculated by multiplying the lowest personal income tax rate for the year (15% in 2009) by $5,000.

For 2009, the credit will be $750.To qualify for the HBTC, an individual must purchase a qualifying home and neither the homebuyer or the homebuyer’s spouse or common-law partner can have owned and lived in another home in the year of purchase or any of the four preceding years.A qualifying home is a housing unit located in Canada including existing homes and those being constructed. Single-family homes, semi-detached homes, townhouses, mobile homes, condominium units, and apartments in duplexes, triplexes, fourplexes, or apartment buildings, all qualify.

A share in a co-operative housing corporation that entitles the individual to possess and gives an equity interest in a housing unit also qualifies. However, a share that only provides a right to tenancy in the housing unit does not qualify.

Grants for eco-friendly upgradesThe ecoENERGY Retrofit program provides home and property owners with grants of up to $5,000 to offset the costs of making energy-efficiency improvements. Grants apply to a variety of measures that reduce energy consumption – anything from increasing insulation to upgrading a furnace. Building on the success of the existing program,

Budget 2009 provides an additional $300 million over two years to the ecoENERGY Retrofit program to support an estimated 200,000 additional home retrofits.Home Renovation Tax CreditThe proposed Home Renovation Tax Credit (HRTC) will provide a temporary 15 per cent income tax credit on eligible home renovation expenditures for work performed, or goods acquired, after January 27, 2009 and before February 1, 2010.

The credit may be claimed for the 2009 taxation year on the portion of eligible expenditures exceeding $1,000, but not more than $10,000, and will provide up to $1,350 in tax relief.For more information on all of the home ownership and housing related stimulus in Budget 2009, go to http://www.budget.gc.ca/2009/plan/bpa5a-eng.asp#Personal or to the Canada Revenue Agency Web site at www.cra-arc.gc.ca and search for “Home Buyers Plan.”What’s eligible and what’s not for the Home Renovation Tax Credit?

The federal government hopes the Home Renovation Tax Credit (HRTC) will get Canadians spending now to help create jobs in industries typically hurt by an economic downturn. Now through January 31, 2010, homeowners can claim a tax credit for 15 per cent of renovation expenses between $1,000 and $10,000. Here’s a sample of what qualifies under the program and what does not.Eligible

renovating a kitchen, bathroom or basement

new carpet or hardwood floors

building an addition, deck, fence or retaining wall

a new furnace or water heater

painting the interior or exterior of a house

resurfacing a driveway

laying new sod Ineligible

purchase of furniture and appliances (e.g. refrigerator, stove, and couch)

purchase of tools

carpet cleaning

maintenance contracts (e.g. furnace cleaning, snow removal, lawn care, and pool cleaning)